Avoiding the usual traps

The corporate foresight program at Intel was built with keen awareness of how foresight usually fails. Trend reports are saved as background reading. Small teams of futurists see forces of change but have no influence on those who hold budgets. And programs that claim a single view of the future lose credibility when reality diverges.

John Miranda, who led the program, sees lost trust as the fastest way to end a foresight function. Intel’s answer was to treat foresight as a system of relationships rather than a system of reports.

A federated contributor network 

Intel does not centralize foresight in one team. The program draws on a community of contributors from across the business: engineers, strategists, market analysts, and sustainability leads. Miranda identified employees who show curiosity and thought leadership, mapped their expertise, and built a go-to network for each subject area.

The network is effective because it runs on reciprocity. Contributors get visibility for their thinking, access to executives, and recognition inside the company. Intel’s culture helps too. Early leaders Gordon Moore and Andy Grove modeled the cultural posture the program relied on. Both flew economy. Both drove subcompacts on campus. That modesty translated into a culture where intellectual contributions from any level get taken seriously. 

A trend radar, highlighting the growth of green data centers
Example of an ITONICS trend radar

Signals that trigger decisions

Members meet a few times each quarter to interpret findings, debate implications, and construct arguments for why a signal matters. Intel uses ITONICS for structured signal evaluation, to pressure-test hypotheses before they reach senior management.

Miranda explicitly partnered with groups like the Corporate Strategic Office, so that resource reallocation can follow insight.

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“Coming up with insights without the accompanying change is not enough.”

John MirandaCorporate Foresight Program Lead, Intel

Four drivers of change 

The program surfaces drivers with several plausible outcomes, rather than predictions. The first is sustainability: computing consumes vast amounts of energy, so Intel is rethinking how its products fit a circular economy, from longer product life to end-of-life flows. The second is decentralized computing, which is pushing resources back toward workstations and points to a different chip and platform mix than a cloud-only world.

The third is GenAI, which Intel treats as more than a GPU-centric problem, looking instead at agentic, system-level workloads. The fourth is geopolitics and populism, and the pressure they put on information trust across the tech ecosystem.

About Intel

Intel is an American technology company founded in 1968 by Gordon Moore and Robert Noyce and headquartered in Santa Clara, California. It designs and manufactures semiconductors, including the processors that power PCs, servers, and data centers, and is one of the world’s best-known chipmakers.

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